August PCE Inflation Softens, Reducing October Fed Rate Hike Expectations and Supporting Risk Assets

August PCE Inflation Softens, Reducing October Fed Rate Hike Expectations and Supporting Risk Assets

US August PCE inflation data came in softer than expectations, materially reducing market-implied probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the October FOMC meeting.

Key points

  • US August PCE inflation data came in softer than expectations, materially reducing market-implied probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike
  • The softer PCE reading extends the narrative of progress toward the Fed’s 2% inflation target, supporting the view that the tightening cycle
  • Lower October hike expectations improve the risk-on environment for equities and credit, providing near-term relief to valuation multiples i

:chart_with_upwards_trend: How do you see this playing out for markets? Discuss below.


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